World Cup 2026 · Live

Trade Your

Turn your match-day beliefs into tradable assets. Watch the crowd price every goal, card, and upset in real time.

64
Matches
100+
Markets
On-chain
Settlement

Why Conviction Markets?

Sensei turns every match-day take into a position you can size, trade, and settle on-chain.

S
+Create your market…

Permissionless market creation

Spin up a market on any match-day question in seconds. Anyone can list, anyone can trade.

Live LS-LMSR pricing

Adaptive liquidity keeps prices honest on niche side bets too. No order book required.

Match settled
YES wins
Resolved

Fast on-chain resolution

Markets settle the moment the whistle blows, secured by Solana and verified on-chain.

FAQ

What is a conviction market?

A conviction market is an open, tradable Yes/No market where you put real financial weight behind your strongest match-day takes. Unlike traditional prediction markets, conviction markets let anyone create and trade outcomes for any World Cup event, with prices reflecting live trader consensus.

Who can create a market on Sensei?

Anyone with a connected wallet. List a question — "Will Brazil score first?", "Will the final go to penalties?" — pick the resolution source, post the liquidity bond, and it goes live the moment it confirms on-chain.

How does trading work?

Sensei runs an LS-LMSR automated market maker. You buy YES or NO shares; the price reflects the live probability the crowd assigns to the outcome. Sell anytime before the match locks — your P&L is the difference between entry and exit price.

How are matches resolved?

When the official result is final, the market resolves on-chain using the configured oracle source. Winning shares pay out 1 USDC each; losing shares go to zero. Disputed results route to admin arbitration before settlement.

How do I deposit and withdraw funds?

Deposit USDC from any Solana wallet through the in-app Deposit modal — funds become your trading balance instantly. Withdrawals are non-custodial and process on-chain, typically within seconds.

When does the public app launch?

Sensei is moving to Solana mainnet for real USDC markets. World Cup 2026 markets seed throughout the tournament window, with launch timing announced through the newsletter below.

!
!

Join the Conviction Economy

By joining, you agree to our Terms of Use.